Worse than the rest of today will be traded securities of oil and gas sector

The Russian stock market is expected preponderance of negative momentum at least until the block of Labor Statistics United States

Outcome yesterday - multidirectional closing of the main indices on the background of low bidding (RTS index - minus 0.92%, the index of MICEX - 4.21%). Negative opening with a significant decline in the RTS index, differently, in the forecast intraday dynamics, the growth of the closure on the MICEX, triggered by rising world oil prices and optimistic opening of Wall Street. External support in the form of growth in world oil prices, base and precious metals contributed to the growth of intraday MICEX index in the consolidation of recent days, but did not reverse the short-term negative trend. Predominantly positive trend in the closure of major blue chip on the Moscow Interbank Currency Exchange (Gazprom - 6.54%, Lukoil - 3.34%, Nornikel - 5.6%, Sberbank - 3.55%, Rosneft - 3.09%, Surgutneftegaz - 5.06%, VTB - 7.27%). But in general - the typical lateral trend, momentary and purely speculative increase in individual securities, the absence of domestic ideas and a complete correlation with the external guidance in the form of the dynamics of world oil prices and Wall Street.

Today, the prevalence of negative external factors implies a negative opening on the main Russian index greater decline in the index MICEX. The effect of yesterday's growth in major U.S. indexes (DJI - 0.68%, NASDAQ - 0.58%, S P500 - 0.44%) will be significantly weakened by the negative dynamics of futures for the major U.S. indexes. Yesterday's optimism at the opening of Wall Street entirely based on favorable data on activity in the manufacturing sector, China, Europe and America. But the decline in world oil prices after the weekly oil statistics from the Office of Energy Information severely disappointed the market, have put pressure on shares of the energy sector. The index of the largest oil companies fell as a result of trades at 0.08%. Leading in the reduction of stocks AIG (minus 22%). Worse than the market was and the dynamics of the shares of banks.

At the end of the day, shares of Citigroup have not changed, JPMorgan shares fell by 0.85%, shares of Bank of America - at 1.14%. Today, America is extremely volatile trading expected on the background of a busy calendar makrostatistiki (June employment statistics, data on weekly unemployment benefits), the meetings of the ECB for further monetary policy and in anticipation of the long U.S. weekend.

Side stagnation dynamics - in the stock markets of Latin America (Mexico - 0.64% Brazil - 0.15% Argentina - 1.39%) and Asia (Japan - minus 0.64%, Korea - 0.02% China - 1.6% , Taiwan - 1.35%).

The decline after an unfavorable oil statistics from the Energy Information Office, shows the growth in gasoline significantly higher expectations of the market-at world oil market yesterday, the continuation of negative trends in the auction in Asia today. August futures price of oil brand Brent on the results of yesterday's trades fell by 0.51 dollars to 68.79 after the 71.32 dollar intraday peak. In Asia, prices declined by 0.2 dollars. Morning weakening dollar has retained global oil prices from a significant reduction.

growth against a background of weakening of the dollar - the market of major base metals. As a result of yesterday's auction at the LME, three-month futures price of nickel rose by 6.18%, copper - at 3.22%, and zinc - to 2.91%, lead - to 3.25%.

positive trend - in the ADRs of Russian oil and gas stocks in the U.S., but mixed a discount relative to the closing price of shares in RTS 1 July: Gazprom - 1.29%, Lukoil - 0.88%, Surgutneftegaz - minus 0.56%.

The Russian stock market is expected to open the main negative indices and the prevalence of negative momentum at least until the block of Labor Statistics United States against a background of declining global oil prices and futures on major U.S. indices. Expectancy as a major stock or commodity markets, labor statistics united states determine ambient background to the closure of Russia. Worse than the market - the dynamics of the shares of oil and gas sector. But in general - continued year of consolidation of major indices. The current range of index MICEX - 1015-950 points. Continuing consolidation of the summer range of broadband (1100-800 points).

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