Ukraine's GDP in the II quarter. 2009 declined by 17,8%
Nominal GDP in the II quarter. In 2009, according to final figures, amounted to 207 billion 96 million UAH, and real - 82,2% compared with the corresponding period in 2008 at constant prices in 2007 This is stated in the communication of Goskomstat.
According to preliminary data, the drop in GDP in the first quarter of 2009 was estimated at 18%. At the same time, the decline in GDP of Ukraine on the results of I quarter. current year amounted to 20,3%.
note that the Cabinet of Ministers of Ukraine forecasts GDP growth in the country in 2011 at 5,4% in 2012 - 7,2%, in 2013 - 6,5%. The draft budget for 2010 has a GDP growth of 3,7%.
At the same time in the state budget-2009 laid down GDP growth of 0,4% and inflation - 9,5%. It should be noted that in the memorandum of economic and financial policies with the IMF, signed in July Ukrainian President Viktor Yushchenko, Prime Minister Yulia Tymoshenko, National Bank Chairman Volodymyr Stelmakh and acting Minister of Finance Igor Umansky, said that the decline in real GDP in Ukraine in 2009 will amount to 14%. According to the document, the forecast drop in GDP deteriorated from 8% during the previous review of the program of cooperation with the IMF.
According to the director of economic programs of the Ukrainian Center for Economic and Political Studies. Razumkov Basil Yurchishin, Ukraine is realistic to keep the fall of GDP to 14%. In approving the budget envisaged GDP growth of 0,4%, inflation at less than 10% that it was already clear: such indicators known to be impossible, - noted Yurchishin.
According to him, in 1 half of this year drop in GDP will reach 18-19% in the second half performance will be slightly better, but not significantly changed since economy is still not working.
We also appreciate the decline in GDP to 12-14% in the second half of this year, inflation at 8-9% for 8 months. 2009 to the end of the year will rise to 14 -15%, - the expert concludes .
Recall previously Economics Minister Bohdan Danylyshyn said that the decline in GDP on the basis of the current year will amount to 10-12%. Positive trends in the economy has already begun, and before the end of 2009 they will grow. It is expected that the results of I half of 2010 we will have a positive result, - said Danylyshyn.
In turn, the World Bank for the year expected to decline in GDP of Ukraine at 15%, in the IMF - by 14%.
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